Reading...an article on independent.ie.com, where Michael Scheuer says he had 10 chances to kill bin laden and thus save "hundreds to thousands of lives and...1.3 trillion dollars". But in a archived story from Harpers Magazine he says that Al-Qeada is not just one man and the organize is able to usher in new people into leadership roles very well. Which begs the question: if bin laden was killed one of those 10 times before 911, wouldn't it still have happened? Or at least, another large scale terrorist attack would have occurred?
It still would have a taken a rather large scale operation to track, arrest, or kill al-Qaeda members...hopefully not $1.3 trillion worth of planning and operations, but then again, the CIA spends $56 billion/yr on its "on the books" ops; add that to cost of use of military assistance (and aid to Pakistan PLUS Afghanistan), yeah were looking still looking at about the same overall large number (even if ops only takes a few short years, compared to the 10yrs of GWOT)....
At the end of all this supposing, there are only 2 conclusions (however contradictory) to reach....